Patrick Mahomes, Quarterback | Kansas City Chiefs
Patrick Mahomes, Quarterback | Kansas City Chiefs
Patrick Mahomes has established a notable record against the spread (ATS) since becoming the starting quarterback for the Kansas City Chiefs. In 2018, during his third career start and first game against a previous postseason team, Mahomes completed 23 of 28 passes for 326 yards and six touchdowns in a Week 2 victory over the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Chiefs entered that game as 4.5-point road underdogs but secured a five-point win, covering the spread.
Since then, Mahomes has led the Chiefs to 28 ATS wins in his starts over seven seasons. This is more than any other quarterback during that period. Only two teams—the Green Bay Packers (.653) and Baltimore Ravens (.654)—have posted better ATS winning percentages than the Chiefs (.622).
The upcoming matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday will provide another opportunity within this trend. According to BetMGM’s NFL odds as of Monday, the Chiefs are listed as a one-point underdog:
Spread: Eagles -1 (-102), Chiefs +1 (+118)
Total: Over 45.5 (-115), Under 45.5 (-105)
Moneyline: Eagles -115, Chiefs -105
If Kansas City remains an underdog at kickoff, it will mark only their tenth time in that position across their last 48 games with Mahomes starting. The team is currently 6-2-1 ATS when playing as an underdog during those games. Additionally, this would be just the second instance where they have been home underdogs with Mahomes at quarterback; previously, they were listed as a 2.5-point home underdog against the Buffalo Bills in 2022.
This season presents a challenging schedule for Kansas City; ten of their seventeen opponents reached last year’s playoffs—a number surpassed only by Detroit Lions and Philadelphia Eagles (each facing eleven playoff teams from last season).
For those interested in updated betting odds or promotions related to Sunday’s game between Kansas City and Philadelphia, further information can be found at BetMGM sportsbook.